BMI Industry View
BMI View: The removal of almost all sanctions on Iran's economy heralds a
new era for the country. In terms of
agriculture, the return of economic growth will have the most rapid and direct
impact on consumption.
Production and investment in the supply chain will also benefit, but over the
longer term. Therefore,
production expansion will be slower than consumption growth in the coming years
and Iran will remain a
large and growing importer of key commodities. The lifting of sanctions will
also lead to a normalisation of trade flows, which will
encompass a rise in imports and the re-diversification of suppliers.
Key Forecasts
■
Wheat
production growth to 2019/20: 21.0% to 16.0mn tonnes. Wheat yields are
expected to improve owing to the modernisation of
technology, including hardier grains variants, greater access to relevant inputs and a larger area of the country
benefiting from new irrigation facilities.
■ Sugar consumption growth to 2020: 27.6% to 3.1mn tonnes. Sugar demand will be mainly driven by population growth and the improved macroeconomic conditions following the lifting of sanctions in 2016...
گزارش تحلیلی بیزینس مانیتور- کسب و کار کشاورزی در ایران- سه ماهه سوم 2016